Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
9%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
7%
Manifold
11%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$910K4pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
9%
↑ 1ppGemini
9%
Polymarket
10%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$772K3pp gap
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21%
Polymarket
20%
Gemini
23%
Manifold
20%
politics3 sources$698K3pp gap
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
30%
Manifold
21%
politics2 sources$654K10pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
6%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K5pp gap
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
39%
Gemini
42%
politics3 sources$609K3pp gap
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
Manifold
2%
politics3 sources$567K3pp gap
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
22%
Polymarket
24%
Manifold
17%
Gemini
26%
politics3 sources$475K9pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
64%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
72%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$421K17pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
10%
Polymarket
8%
Manifold
12%
Gemini
11%
politics3 sources$355K4pp gap
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
7%
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
6%
politics3 sources$303K3pp gap
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
8%
politics2 sources$176K2pp gap
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
35%
↓ 14ppPolymarket
34%
Gemini
37%
politics2 sources$137K3pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
30%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
28%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$85K3pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
82%
Polymarket
84%
Manifold
80%
politics2 sources$78K4pp gap
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
53%
Polymarket
52%
Manifold
54%
politics2 sources$55K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
41%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
43%
politics2 sources$54K3pp gap
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
26%
Polymarket
24%
Manifold
27%
politics2 sources$44K2pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
78%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
80%
Manifold
77%
politics2 sources$34K3pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
55%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
59%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K7pp gap