W
Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold14 traders
W
Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?
14%
Manifold
14%
scienceManifold14 traders
W
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
69%
Manifold
69%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold155 traders
S
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035
63%
Manifold
63%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
12%
Manifold
12%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
4%
Manifold
4%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will global carbon dioxide levels decrease in any year before 2030
6%
Manifold
6%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
97%
Manifold
97%
scienceManifold12 traders
S
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Mars orbit by 2045
59%
Manifold
59%
scienceManifold19 traders
W
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?
40%
Manifold
40%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold11 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 14
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold95 traders
W
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
6%
Manifold
6%
scienceManifold91 traders
W
Will any company or space agency other than SpaceX successfully use reusable rocket launch system by 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold12 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-06-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-04-01
79%
Manifold
79%
scienceManifold75 traders