Human moon landing in 2026?
3%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
2%
science2 sources$1.9M3pp gap
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
90%
Manifold
81%
Polymarket
95%
science2 sources$482K14pp gap
Which team wins 2026 Stanley Cup — Carolina Hurricanes
14%
Manifold
14%
Gemini
15%
sports2 sources1pp gap
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EVENT
When will the next Moon land
57%
When will the next Moon land
41%
When will the next Moon land
1%
science4 candidates +1 more
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EVENT
Havana syndrome: As of 2030,
32%
Havana syndrome: As of 2030,
31%
Havana syndrome: As of 2030,
19%
science4 candidates +1 more
8
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EVENT
What's an unconventional opi
18%
What's an unconventional opi
17%
What's an unconventional opi
11%
science5 candidates +2 more
9
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EVENT
How will I die? — Natural Di
67%
How will I die? — I will liv
51%
How will I die? — Aging
35%
science2 candidates
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EVENT
Starship to Mars Multi-choic
54%
Starship to Mars Multi-choic
32%
Starship to Mars Multi-choic
9%
science7 candidates +4 more
C
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EVENT
What will
77%
What will
9%
What will
8%
science4 candidates +1 more
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EVENT
What conspiracy theories wil
91%
What conspiracy theories wil
90%
What conspiracy theories wil
88%
science13 candidates +10 more
C
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EVENT
Global Average Temperature A
33%
Global Average Temperature A
29%
Global Average Temperature A
19%
science7 candidates +4 more
C
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EVENT
Which major technology compa
25%
Which major technology compa
14%
Which major technology compa
13%
science10 candidates +7 more
D
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EVENT
[Polymarket] What will Space
56%
[Polymarket] What will Space
33%
[Polymarket] What will Space
2%
science9 candidates +6 more
G
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EVENT
Who will manufacture the lan
40%
Who will manufacture the lan
34%
Who will manufacture the lan
23%
science4 candidates +1 more
G
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EVENT
What year will SpaceX first
73%
What year will SpaceX first
27%
What year will SpaceX first
19%
science7 candidates +4 more
H
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EVENT
Where will the largest magni
58%
Where will the largest magni
56%
Where will the largest magni
50%
science22 candidates +19 more
I
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EVENT
🐣What will happen in April 2
99%
🐣What will happen in April 2
99%
🐣What will happen in April 2
97%
science3 candidates
I
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EVENT
Which will
11%
Which will
10%
Which will
8%
science2 candidates
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EVENT
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Whi
82%
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Whi
77%
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Whi
74%
science2 candidates
I
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EVENT
What will SpaceX's stock tic
55%
What will SpaceX's stock tic
20%
What will SpaceX's stock tic
12%
science5 candidates +2 more