W
Will China claim to have discovered life on Mars before 2035?
20%
Manifold
20%
scienceManifold15 traders
W
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
27%
Manifold
27%
scienceManifold32 traders
D
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold2173 traders
W
Will a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
78%
Manifold
78%
scienceManifold54 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 12
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold95 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 15
46%
Manifold
46%
scienceManifold95 traders
W
Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030?
6%
Manifold
6%
scienceManifold136 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-10-01
45%
Manifold
45%
scienceManifold75 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-01-01
65%
Manifold
65%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
Will the Russian cancer vaccine work?
17%
Manifold
17%
scienceManifold33 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2029
21%
Manifold
21%
scienceManifold33 traders
W
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold62 traders
W
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
31%
Manifold
31%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold51 traders
W
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
16%
Manifold
16%
scienceManifold39 traders
W
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
31%
Manifold
31%
scienceManifold45 traders
W
When will SpaceX IPO? — By 2026-06-15
38%
Manifold
38%
scienceManifold41 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2030
13%
Manifold
13%
scienceManifold33 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2031
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold33 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2027
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold33 traders