Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
3%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$14.8M2pp gap
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
2%
politics3 sources$14.0M1pp gap
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
2%
politics3 sources$13.5M1pp gap
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
— 0ppManifold
4%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics3 sources$13.1M3pp gap
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3%
— 0ppManifold
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics3 sources$12.6M3pp gap
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$12.1M2pp gap
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$9.9M2pp gap
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
— 0ppManifold
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$9.6M4pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
Manifold
4%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$9.2M2pp gap
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
Manifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
4%
politics3 sources$8.3M3pp gap
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5%
— 0ppManifold
4%
Polymarket
5%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$7.9M2pp gap
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6%
— 0ppManifold
6%
Polymarket
6%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$7.8M1pp gap
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
4%
politics3 sources$7.5M3pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M2pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%
— 0ppManifold
5%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$6.5M3pp gap
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
4%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
2%
politics4 sources$6.2M2pp gap
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
Manifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
3%
politics3 sources$5.7M2pp gap
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
6%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$5.7M4pp gap