Who Will Be Confirmed As FED Chair
EVENT
Kevin Warsh
93%
Judy Shelton
2%
Michelle Bowman
1%
politics9 candidates +6 more$25.5M+$1.1M/24h
NBA MVP
EVENT
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
94%
Victor Wembanyama
4%
Nikola Jokic
2%
sports4 candidates +1 more$24.0M+$249K/24h
What Will Happen Before Gta Vi
EVENT
Drake release Iceman before
86%
GPT-6
68%
New Playboi Carti Album befo
56%
politics9 candidates +6 more$20.9M+$51K/24h
What Price Will Wti Hit In April 2026
EVENT
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIG
91%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW
84%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW
74%
other23 candidates +20 more$17.7M+$1.8M/24h
How Many FED Rate Cuts In 2026
EVENT
no Fed rate cuts happen in 2
35%
1 Fed rate cut happen in 202
24%
2 Fed rate cuts happen in 20
20%
economics13 candidates +10 more$17.6M+$237K/24h
Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027
EVENT
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.
51%
Pizza Hut
40%
Ubisoft
30%
other14 candidates +11 more$17.3M+$20K/24h
NBA Western Conference Champion
EVENT
Oklahoma City Thunder
58%
San Antonio Spurs
18%
Denver Nuggets
14%
sports10 candidates +7 more$16.7M+$118K/24h
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
EVENT
Chong Won-oh
85%
Oh Se-hoon
11%
Cho Eun-hee
1%
politics14 candidates +11 more$16.6M+$819K/24h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$15.5M3pp gap
French Ligue 1 Winner
EVENT
PSG
96%
Lens
2%
Lyon
0%
sports5 candidates +2 more$14.5M+$7K/24h
NBA Eastern Conference Champion
EVENT
Boston Celtics
40%
Detroit Pistons
18%
Cleveland Cavaliers
16%
sports10 candidates +7 more$13.7M+$34K/24h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$13.4M3pp gap
GTA VI released before June 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
entertainmentPolymarket$13.3M
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$13.0M3pp gap
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$12.9M3pp gap
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
EVENT
Yulia Navalnaya
10%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
10%
Donald Trump
8%
politics20 candidates +17 more$12.9M+$132K/24h
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17%
— 0ppGemini
20%
Manifold
16%
Polymarket
17%
politics3 sources$12.8M4pp gap
What Price Will Bitcoin Hit In April 2026
EVENT
Bitcoin reach $75,000 in Apr
67%
Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in Ap
36%
Bitcoin reach $80,000 in Apr
22%
crypto19 candidates +16 more$12.5M+$1.5M/24h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
Polymarket
2%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
3%
sports3 sources$12.3M2pp gap
Netanyahu Out Before 2027
EVENT
Netanyahu out by end of 2026
41%
Netanyahu out by June 30?
8%
Netanyahu out by April 30?
1%
politics3 candidates $11.9M+$336K/24h