Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.2M3pp gap
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.1M2pp gap
Peru Presidential Election Winner
EVENT
Keiko Fujimori
30%
Ricardo Belmont
24%
Carlos Álvarez
20%
politics14 candidates +11 more$8.8M+$1.1M/24h
California Governor Election 2026
EVENT
Eric Swalwell
42%
Tom Steyer
25%
Steve Hilton
9%
politics23 candidates +20 more$8.7M+$111K/24h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$8.5M2pp gap
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
7%
sports3 sources$8.3M3pp gap
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
EVENT
Ken Paxton
61%
John Cornyn
36%
Dawn Buckingham
0%
politics3 candidates $8.2M+$23K/24h
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$8.0M
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
5%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$7.9M4pp gap
Colombia Presidential Election
EVENT
Paloma Valencia
41%
Ivan Cepeda Castro
36%
Abelardo de la Espriella
22%
politics10 candidates +7 more$7.6M+$103K/24h
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M2pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M3pp gap
FED Decision In June
EVENT
there
88%
Fed decrease interest rates
10%
Fed increase interest rates
2%
economics5 candidates +2 more$6.4M+$207K/24h
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
64%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
64%
sportsPolymarket$6.3M
How Many Different Countries Will Israel Strike In 2026
EVENT
Israel strike 4 countries in
30%
Israel strike 5 countries in
27%
Israel strike 3 countries in
16%
geopolitics13 candidates +10 more$6.3M+$26K/24h
Iran Leader End Of 2026
EVENT
Mojtaba Khamenei
58%
Reza Pahlavi
11%
Hassan Rouhani
8%
geopolitics30 candidates +27 more$6.0M+$24K/24h
Megaeth Market Cap Fdv One Day After Launch
EVENT
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6
66%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$8
46%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1
32%
crypto5 candidates +2 more$5.9M+$29K/24h
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11%
— 0ppGemini
13%
Manifold
10%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$5.9M4pp gap