OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
7,608 questions
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$896K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$870K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
15%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
15%
economicsPolymarket$860K
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
25%
↑ 12pp
Polymarket
25%
politicsPolymarket$845K
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 34pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$787K
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
sportsPolymarket$778K
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
cryptoPolymarket$752K
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
19%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$725K
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
93%
↑ 8pp
Polymarket
93%
geopoliticsPolymarket$712K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
11%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
11%
otherPolymarket$707K
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
12%
— 0pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$682K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$660K
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$649K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
9%
↓ 8pp
Polymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$640K
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
politicsPolymarket$635K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
otherPolymarket$626K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
7%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$605K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
14%
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$584K
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
16%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
cryptoPolymarket$569K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
12%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$568K
45678
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