W
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
4%
Polymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
ai2 sources$972K3pp gap
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
2%
ai2 sources$880K1pp gap
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
68%
Manifold
31%
ai2 sources$620K37pp gap
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
64%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
65%
Manifold
64%
ai2 sources$594K1pp gap
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
5%
ai2 sources$586K4pp gap
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
30%
↓ 2ppManifold
26%
Polymarket
34%
ai2 sources$421K9pp gap
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22%
Polymarket
20%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$327K4pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$269K0pp gap
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$135K2pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap