OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
51 questions
0Mfwnsn1Xberracegm8J
scandal is forgotten without
67%
OpenAI significantly changes
61%
government takes action agai
58%
ai6 candidates +3 more
0
0Oqis0Gngi
Other
74%
900B - 1T
7%
800B - 900B
6%
ai10 candidates +7 more
0Rgqlukjtx0C52Ryyaz3
Nvidia
39%
Alphabet/Google
17%
Other
16%
ai2 candidates
0
0Uy608L80C
uv remains MIT-licensed
88%
ruff remains MIT-licensed
86%
Astral's GitHub org remains
81%
ai6 candidates +3 more
1
1Es6Bca3Sdaqblbkshu4
2050 or earlier
17%
2100 or earlier
17%
2040 or earlier
17%
ai8 candidates +5 more
2
209P5Un0Sq
Google
32%
Anthropic
30%
OpenAI
16%
ai12 candidates +9 more
2Rrspurqiu
Do a second rise
89%
Create indentation, fill wit
85%
Use sourdough instead of yea
84%
ai4 candidates +1 more
3Ghz09Ueq9Fi8Ootsapf
North America
79%
Asia
14%
Europe
6%
ai4 candidates +1 more
5
5Zd6Q20Oel
Exponential (similar to 2020
33%
Other
32%
Hyperexponential (indicates
24%
ai2 candidates
6
6Oq8Dceolc
Google
82%
Anthropic
70%
OpenAI
64%
ai3 candidates
6
6Pg5Lcplss
Pizza Hut
45%
Perplexity AI
38%
Viking Therapeutics
28%
ai2 candidates
8
80Lzuedpge
SpaceX
95%
Cerebras
92%
Jersey Mikes
78%
ai2 candidates
8
8H2Ssglnnr
Other
49%
2027
11%
2026
10%
ai8 candidates +5 more
8Nc9Wnog2Ev6D53Y1Nny
Nvidia
22%
Microsoft
14%
Apple
14%
ai2 candidates
8
8Qrh29Rode
Department of War signs a de
94%
OpenAI signs a contract subs
83%
supply chain risk designatio
75%
ai19 candidates +16 more
8
8Wkasj1Hjhggymlavxc4
A person has a moral right t
18%
We should be paying individu
17%
GOFAI could scale past machi
11%
ai3 candidates
9
90R98Sgter
Claude Code
82%
Codex CLI
8%
Codebuff
2%
ai2 candidates
9
9Delliqzul
Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-s
34%
Earbuds
27%
Other
24%
ai7 candidates +4 more
9Izhqiqfz4Q0Bms8Nkir
Brakes hit
55%
New AI paradigm
49%
Huge alignment effort
49%
ai13 candidates +10 more
9
9Ll96Lgch5
It will be released by Janua
96%
It will be released by May 2
86%
It is GPT 5.5 (including any
82%
ai9 candidates +6 more
123
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