Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$126K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$119K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$118K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$111K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$106K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
14%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
14%
economicsPolymarket$91K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
92%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
Manifold
89%
economics2 sources$90K6pp gap
ECB rate hike in 2026?
78%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
78%
economicsPolymarket$89K
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
7%
economics2 sources$83K2pp gap
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
41%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
41%
economicsPolymarket$80K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$63K
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
14%
economicsPolymarket$62K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
59%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
59%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
27%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
27%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Canada recession before 2027?
36%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
36%
economicsPolymarket$57K
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
32%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
32%
economicsPolymarket$48K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
12%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
12%
economicsPolymarket$41K
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
61%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
61%
economicsPolymarket$37K
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
34%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
34%
economicsPolymarket$34K
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$24K