Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
5%
economics2 sources$144K4pp gap
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
3%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
economicsPolymarket$126K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$119K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$115K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
5%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
5%
economicsPolymarket$112K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
6%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
6%
economicsPolymarket$96K
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
93%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
Manifold
89%
economics2 sources$95K6pp gap
ECB rate hike in 2026?
77%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
77%
economicsPolymarket$90K
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
5%
Polymarket
5%
Manifold
6%
economics2 sources$84K1pp gap
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
37%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
37%
economicsPolymarket$80K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
1%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$63K
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
12%
Polymarket
12%
economicsPolymarket$62K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
62%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
62%
economicsPolymarket$59K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
28%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
28%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Canada recession before 2027?
36%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
36%
economicsPolymarket$57K
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
26%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
26%
economicsPolymarket$48K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
10%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
10%
economicsPolymarket$41K
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
57%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
57%
economicsPolymarket$37K
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
22%
Polymarket
22%
economicsPolymarket$34K
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$24K