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Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 10 min ago
6 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-Outcome✓ Consensus 2+
SortTrendingMost SourcesBiggest GapHighest ProbNewest
PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
39%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
38%
Gemini
42%
Manifold
36%
entertainment3 sources$2.4M6pp gap
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
12%
— 0pp
Polymarket
11%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
11%
entertainment3 sources$1.7M4pp gap
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
12%
entertainment2 sources$1.6M7pp gap
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
10%
geopolitics3 sources$1.5M6pp gap
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
12%
Manifold
3%
entertainment3 sources$1.5M9pp gap
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
12%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
12%
Gemini
15%
Manifold
8%
entertainment3 sources$1.2M7pp gap
1
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