W
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2030?
16%
Manifold
16%
geopoliticsManifold12 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2026
14%
Manifold
14%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2027
20%
Manifold
20%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2028
21%
Manifold
21%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2029
21%
Manifold
21%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2030
21%
Manifold
21%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will a country withdraw from NATO for the first time — by end of 2031
28%
Manifold
28%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? — Before 2027-01-01
22%
Manifold
22%
geopoliticsManifold172 traders
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine? — Before 2027-07-01
53%
Manifold
53%
geopoliticsManifold172 traders
N
Number of operational nuclear reactors in the world has surpasses 800 anytime before mid 2039
26%
Manifold
26%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
W
Will the US-Iran war be over by April 23rd?
9%
Manifold
9%
geopoliticsManifold16 traders
W
Will the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?
9%
Manifold
9%
geopoliticsManifold18 traders
W
Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
16%
Manifold
16%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
W
Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any Guyanese territory before 2027?
3%
Manifold
3%
geopoliticsManifold14 traders
W
Will any country withdraw from NATO by the start of 2032?
42%
Manifold
42%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
W
Will Switzerland join NATO before 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
U
US military expenditure tops all-time high by 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
geopoliticsManifold13 traders
W
Will Spain lose any territory before 01/01/2030? (Either land or territorial waters)
14%
Manifold
14%
geopoliticsManifold11 traders
W
Will Iran launch wave X of missile/drone strike under "Operation True Promise 4" before date Y? — X=130, Y=April 11th
3%
Manifold
3%
geopoliticsManifold11 traders