Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
27%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
28%
Manifold
26%
politics2 sources$721K3pp gap
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21%
Polymarket
20%
Gemini
24%
Manifold
20%
politics3 sources$701K4pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
— 0ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
39%
Gemini
42%
politics3 sources$610K3pp gap
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
1%
Predictit
5%
Manifold
2%
politics3 sources$596K4pp gap
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
22%
Polymarket
24%
Manifold
17%
Gemini
25%
politics3 sources$475K8pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
65%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
74%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$422K20pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
10%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
12%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$355K4pp gap
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
7%
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
6%
politics3 sources$303K3pp gap
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics3 sources$171K2pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
30%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
30%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$86K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
82%
Polymarket
84%
Manifold
80%
politics2 sources$78K4pp gap
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
53%
Polymarket
52%
Manifold
54%
politics2 sources$55K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
41%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
43%
politics2 sources$54K3pp gap
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
25%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
24%
Manifold
27%
politics2 sources$44K3pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
78%
Polymarket
79%
Manifold
77%
politics2 sources$34K2pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
56%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
60%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K8pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
13%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K4pp gap
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
17%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
27%
Manifold
10%
politics2 sources$18K17pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
38%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
32%
Manifold
44%
politics2 sources$14K11pp gap