OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
821 questions
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
26%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
26%
politicsPolymarket$1.4M
Republican Nominee For Florida Governor
EVENT
Byron Donalds
88%
James Fishback
9%
Jay Collins
1%
politics7 candidates +4 more$1.3M+$722/24h
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
EVENT
Swedish Social Democratic Pa
86%
Moderate Party (M)
6%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%
politics9 candidates +6 more$1.1M+$442/24h
Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
EVENT
Vivek Ramaswamy
98%
Casey Putsch
2%
Philip Funderburg
0%
politics3 candidates $986K+$2K/24h
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
50%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
50%
politicsPolymarket$925K
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
EVENT
United Russia (ER)
97%
Civic Platform (GP)
1%
New People (NL)
1%
politics7 candidates +4 more$902K+$3K/24h
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$896K
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
EVENT
Nithya Raman
51%
Karen Bass
31%
Spencer Pratt
12%
politics11 candidates +8 more$848K+$4K/24h
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
25%
↑ 12pp
Polymarket
25%
politicsPolymarket$845K
Alaska Governor Election Winner
EVENT
Bernadette Wilson
31%
Tom Begich
26%
Treg Taylor
22%
politics17 candidates +14 more$808K+$12K/24h
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
EVENT
Duke Rodriguez
50%
Greg Hull
42%
Susana Martinez
1%
politics9 candidates +6 more$801K+$5K/24h
Dublin Central By Election Winner
EVENT
Daniel Ennis
76%
Janice Boylan
10%
John Stephens
7%
politics12 candidates +9 more$787K+$1K/24h
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
EVENT
Yang Seung-jo
66%
Park Soo-hyun
32%
Kim Tae-heum
1%
politics9 candidates +6 more$733K+$43K/24h
Hungary Parliamentary Election Popular Vote Winner
EVENT
Tisza
82%
Fidesz–KDNP
17%
another party
0%
politics3 candidates $718K+$108K/24h
How Many Republican Governors After The 2026 Midterm Elections
EVENT
Republican Party hold exactl
35%
Republican Party hold fewer
22%
Republican Party hold exactl
20%
politics7 candidates +4 more$659K+$2K/24h
Sachsen Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
EVENT
AfD
88%
CDU
6%
SPD
3%
politics7 candidates +4 more$654K+$21K/24h
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
politicsPolymarket$635K
Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner Bolivia
EVENT
Juan Pablo Velasco
54%
Otto Ritter
45%
Julio César Tórrez
0%
politics4 candidates +1 more$563K+$13K/24h
Who Will Leave Trump Administration Before 2027
EVENT
Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave th
76%
Kristi Noem leave the Trump
69%
Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trum
62%
politics12 candidates +9 more$547K+$8K/24h
Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
EVENT
Dan Cox
56%
Ed Hale
32%
Steve Hershey
5%
politics7 candidates +4 more$539K+$12/24h
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