French election called by June 30, 2026?
9%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
9%
politicsPolymarket$74K
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
51%
↑ 8ppPolymarket
51%
politicsPolymarket$72K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
politicsPolymarket$71K
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$70K
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
7%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
7%
politicsPolymarket$70K
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
4%
Polymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$69K
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
41%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
41%
politicsPolymarket$68K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
32%
↓ 10ppPolymarket
32%
politicsPolymarket$67K
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
8%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$67K
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
32%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
32%
politicsPolymarket$66K
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$65K
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
17%
Polymarket
17%
politicsPolymarket$62K
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
29%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
29%
politicsPolymarket$58K
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
27%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
27%
politicsPolymarket$57K
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
politicsPolymarket$57K
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
48%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
48%
politicsPolymarket$56K
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
16%
politicsPolymarket$56K
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
53%
Polymarket
52%
Manifold
54%
politics2 sources$55K2pp gap
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
14%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
14%
politicsPolymarket$54K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
41%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
43%
politics2 sources$54K3pp gap