Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10%
— 0ppPolymarket
12%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
6%
sports3 sources$2.2M5pp gap
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.1M1pp gap
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.1M1pp gap
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.1M1pp gap
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.0M1pp gap
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
Polymarket
6%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.0M5pp gap
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$1.9M1pp gap
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
1%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
1%
sports2 sources$1.8M1pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3%
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$1.8M5pp gap
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
9%
— 0ppPolymarket
16%
Gemini
6%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.4M15pp gap
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
3%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
1%
sports2 sources$1.1M4pp gap
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
6%
sports2 sources$1.1M3pp gap
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
3%
Gemini
2%
Polymarket
4%
sports2 sources$1.1M3pp gap
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
6%
sports2 sources$883K0pp gap
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?
9%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
10%
Manifold
6%
sports2 sources$867K4pp gap
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
26%
↓ 0ppManifold
61%
Polymarket
18%
other2 sources$707K44pp gap
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
79%
Polymarket
74%
Gemini
88%
Manifold
84%
sports3 sources$647K14pp gap
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$567K1pp gap
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
Manifold
7%
sports2 sources$532K1pp gap
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
22%
sports2 sources$398K17pp gap