W
Will the Orioles win the AL East in 2026?
1%
Context
1%
sportsContext$565
Will Karim Benzema return to Real Madrid in the summer of 2026? — Will Karim Benzema return to Real Madrid in the summer of 2026?
11%
Futuur
11%
sportsFutuur$364
Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season? — Will Neymar sign with a European elite club for the 2026/27 season?
20%
Futuur
20%
sportsFutuur$339
W
Will any player score 7 or more goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86%
Manifold
86%
sportsManifold19 traders
W
Will Japan play in the quarterfinals of the 2026 World Cup?
35%
Manifold
35%
sportsManifold15 traders
W
Will a La Liga regular season match be played in the United States before the end of the 2025/26 season?
1%
Manifold
1%
sportsManifold12 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 4.5%
55%
Manifold
55%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.0%
29%
Manifold
29%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.5%
16%
Manifold
16%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 6.0%
11%
Manifold
11%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
27%
Manifold
27%
sportsManifold13 traders
C
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
8%
Manifold
8%
sportsManifold21 traders
W
Will a previous winner of the World Cup win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76%
Manifold
76%
sportsManifold29 traders
J
Jon Jones on UFC White House card?
2%
Manifold
2%
sportsManifold11 traders
W
Will Fernando Alonso be an Aston Martin Formula 1 driver by the end of the season?
65%
Manifold
65%
sportsManifold12 traders
D
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
6%
Manifold
6%
sportsManifold11 traders
T
Trump to hand the World Cup trophy to Harry Kane
7%
Manifold
7%
sportsManifold20 traders
W
Will Kanye perform in the 2027 Super Bowl halftime show?
5%
Manifold
5%
sportsManifold30 traders
W
Will both teams score at least 1 goal in the FIFA 2026 world cup final game?
78%
Manifold
78%
sportsManifold12 traders
C
Coinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)
52%
Manifold
52%
sportsManifold22 traders