OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
3,149 questions
Consensus 2+
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
18%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$393K
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$393K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$392K
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
10%
Polymarket
10%
otherPolymarket$392K
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
32%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
32%
cryptoPolymarket$382K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
13%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
13%
geopoliticsPolymarket$375K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$372K
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
97%
— 0pp
Polymarket
97%
politicsPolymarket$367K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
7%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
7%
otherPolymarket$360K
Iran leadership change by June 30?
28%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$357K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$355K
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
10%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
10%
politicsPolymarket$349K
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
47%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
47%
otherPolymarket$348K
Iran leadership change by May 31?
20%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$346K
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
51%
Polymarket
51%
politicsPolymarket$343K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
16%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$335K
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
2%
Polymarket
2%
cryptoPolymarket$335K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
30%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
28%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$85K3pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
55%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
59%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K7pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
14%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
12%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K3pp gap
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