OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
155 questions
Consensus 2+
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Nvidia
30%
Other
17%
Apple
14%
finance7 candidates +4 more
1Kinmmlgrvigmmsvhu18
NVIDIA
94%
Alphabet (Google)
89%
Apple
84%
finance17 candidates +14 more
9
9G8Uzyghgq
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META
31%
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN)
26%
Google/Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOO
18%
finance4 candidates +1 more
8Gpyt9Opu9Ll446Ugmr9
NVIDIA
13%
Alphabet
13%
Microsoft
13%
finance13 candidates +10 more
8
80Lzuedpge
SpaceX
99%
Anthropic
83%
Jersey Mikes
78%
finance7 candidates +4 more
2
2Xx57Wg0Jrag98Xtgnab
SpaceX
67%
Starlink (independent of Spa
13%
Other
10%
finance5 candidates +2 more
2
2L1Ml49Gpg3Xttzhxauz
$10M - $100M
45%
Less than $10M or bankrupt
44%
$100M - $1B
7%
finance4 candidates +1 more
S
S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold72 traders
A
AI will run a $1bn+ outperforming market hedge fund by 2030 where I am 80% sure that AI is doing ~all functions
29%
Manifold
29%
financeManifold23 traders
Y
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
70%
Manifold
70%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold55 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $2500 end of 2027
3%
Manifold
3%
financeManifold27 traders
A
A DAO has a market cap equivalent to average Fortune 500 company by 2030.
29%
Manifold
29%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold52 traders
T
Turkey Tom (TomDark) stock permanent
88%
Manifold
88%
financeManifold51 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
73%
Manifold
73%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold46 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7500
53%
Manifold
53%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?
52%
Manifold
52%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will Twitter beat Tumblr at "97% devaluation speedrun"
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold49 traders
34567
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