OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
158 questions
Consensus 2+
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >28.5 at end of 2026/10
73%
Manifold
73%
financeManifold63 traders
W
Will Discord file for an IPO before 2027?
50%
Manifold
50%
financeManifold15 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 10,000
29%
Manifold
29%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 9,000
50%
Manifold
50%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 11,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8500
12%
Manifold
12%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will NVIDIA release the 'DGX Quantum' (hybrid quantum supercomputer) before 2028 ?
28%
Manifold
28%
financeManifold13 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 10,000
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
97%
Manifold
97%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 8,000
92%
Manifold
92%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 pass 1,000,000 by EOY 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold32 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Friday
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold12 traders
S
Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029
38%
Manifold
38%
financeManifold23 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7000
93%
Manifold
93%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold52 traders
W
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold71 traders
Which price will Apple stock (AAPL) hold above before staying below it, for a full week? — $335 (after Sep 18)
54%
Manifold
54%
financeManifold12 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $2500 end of 2030
23%
Manifold
23%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will MicroStrategy's ($MSTR) stock price reach $10,000 by 2030?
13%
Manifold
13%
financeManifold20 traders
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