OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
158 questions
Consensus 2+
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $2500 end of 2027
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 pass 1,000,000 by EOY 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold32 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Monday
30%
Manifold
30%
financeManifold12 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Tuesday
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold25 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Thursday
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7000
93%
Manifold
93%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
financeManifold15 traders
W
Will Japan have a general AI company with a valuation of $1 bil+ primarily doing research inside of its borders by 2028?
86%
Manifold
86%
financeManifold36 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6000
99%
Manifold
99%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
65%
Manifold
65%
financeManifold17 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Wednesday
20%
Manifold
20%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
financeManifold55 traders
I
If Elon Musk buys Twitter, will its revenue quintuple by 2028?
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 9,000
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold71 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold52 traders
W
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
financeManifold11 traders
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