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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
155 questions
Consensus 2+
Y
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
70%
Manifold
70%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?
88%
Manifold
88%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
44%
Manifold
44%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
19%
Manifold
19%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
8%
Manifold
8%
financeManifold27 traders
A
Another company surpasses NVDA's market cap by end of 2026?
65%
Manifold
65%
financeManifold13 traders
W
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
financeManifold96 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $1500 end of 2030
39%
Manifold
39%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 11,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?
85%
Manifold
85%
financeManifold26 traders
W
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
63%
Manifold
63%
financeManifold11 traders
E
Effective Altruism stock [permanent]
71%
Manifold
71%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 dip below 6000 in 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold52 traders
T
Turkey Tom (TomDark) stock permanent
88%
Manifold
88%
financeManifold51 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
73%
Manifold
73%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?
56%
Manifold
56%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?
52%
Manifold
52%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8000
33%
Manifold
33%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8500
19%
Manifold
19%
financeManifold27 traders
←5678→
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