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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
249,165
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
149 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8500
19%
Manifold
19%
financeManifold27 traders
T
Tesla Stock hits $575 before $300
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold14 traders
W
Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
financeManifold18 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7500
62%
Manifold
62%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6000
96%
Manifold
96%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Nvidia?
39%
Manifold
39%
financeManifold35 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 14,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
financeManifold15 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
70%
Manifold
70%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
19%
Manifold
19%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
8%
Manifold
8%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
17%
Manifold
17%
financeManifold18 traders
W
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?
65%
Manifold
65%
financeManifold49 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?
70%
Manifold
70%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?
90%
Manifold
90%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
62%
Manifold
62%
financeManifold28 traders
W
Will Toyota still be a top 3 car manufacturer by revenue in 2030?
50%
Manifold
50%
financeManifold48 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 8,000
91%
Manifold
91%
financeManifold27 traders
←5678→
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