OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
158 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will NVIDIA release the 'DGX Quantum' (hybrid quantum supercomputer) before 2028 ?
28%
Manifold
28%
financeManifold13 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >30.5 at end of 2026/10
55%
Manifold
55%
financeManifold63 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $1000 end of 2027
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold27 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $2500 end of 2027
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
8%
Manifold
8%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
97%
Manifold
97%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 pass 1,000,000 by EOY 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold32 traders
W
Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
financeManifold18 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7000
93%
Manifold
93%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
financeManifold15 traders
W
Will Japan have a general AI company with a valuation of $1 bil+ primarily doing research inside of its borders by 2028?
86%
Manifold
86%
financeManifold36 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Wednesday
20%
Manifold
20%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
22%
Manifold
22%
financeManifold15 traders
W
Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?
14%
Manifold
14%
financeManifold78 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold55 traders
W
Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)
94%
Manifold
94%
financeManifold19 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?
79%
Manifold
79%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold71 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 10,000
29%
Manifold
29%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 13,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
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