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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
155 questions
Consensus 2+
T
Tesla Stock hits $575 before $300
45%
Manifold
45%
financeManifold14 traders
W
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
financeManifold96 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7500
53%
Manifold
53%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2026?
10%
Manifold
10%
financeManifold119 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 9,000
35%
Manifold
35%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will Twitter beat Tumblr at "97% devaluation speedrun"
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold49 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] — Above $2500 end of 2030
22%
Manifold
22%
financeManifold27 traders
B
By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
22%
Manifold
22%
financeManifold83 traders
X
X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years
14%
Manifold
14%
financeManifold14 traders
W
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
63%
Manifold
63%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?
85%
Manifold
85%
financeManifold26 traders
W
Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of Ṁ before 2035?
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold13 traders
E
Effective Altruism stock [permanent]
71%
Manifold
71%
financeManifold22 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?
8%
Manifold
8%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
85%
Manifold
85%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 9000
10%
Manifold
10%
financeManifold27 traders
S
Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029
37%
Manifold
37%
financeManifold23 traders
W
Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?
11%
Manifold
11%
financeManifold33 traders
W
Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?
10%
Manifold
10%
financeManifold55 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 15,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
←45678→
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