MethodologyAPI
AllPoliticsSportsCryptoEconomyTechAIScienceWeatherFinanceCultureWorldOther

OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
141 questions
ShowAllSingle MarketsMulti-OutcomeConsensus 2+
SortTrendingMost SourcesBiggest GapHighest ProbNewest
PlatformAll PlatformsGeminiManifold MarketsPolymarketPredictIt
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
12%
Manifold
12%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 100,000
7%
Manifold
7%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6500
62%
Manifold
62%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7000
43%
Manifold
43%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 7500
28%
Manifold
28%
financeManifold27 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >22.5 at end of 2026/04
38%
Manifold
38%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6100
95%
Manifold
95%
financeManifold16 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 6300
94%
Manifold
94%
financeManifold16 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 8,000
34%
Manifold
34%
financeManifold27 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 10,000
15%
Manifold
15%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026? — S&P500 ≥ 8000
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold27 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >21.5 at end of 2026/04
50%
Manifold
50%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 11,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 12,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 13,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 14,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 15,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
S
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies — >20.5 at end of 2026/04
59%
Manifold
59%
financeManifold41 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
9%
Manifold
9%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 9,000
3%
Manifold
3%
financeManifold17 traders
←45678→
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology