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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
339,956
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
158 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?
22%
Manifold
22%
financeManifold15 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 8,000
65%
Manifold
65%
financeManifold17 traders
W
What day of the week will be the next >=5% change in the S&P 500? (After April 9 2025) — Wednesday
20%
Manifold
20%
financeManifold12 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? — 14,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
Y
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
97%
Manifold
97%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold25 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? — 12,000
21%
Manifold
21%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?
96%
Manifold
96%
financeManifold96 traders
W
Will Tesla overtake NVIDIA in market cap before 2030?
14%
Manifold
14%
financeManifold78 traders
M
Manifold markets next valuation > $20m if announced by EOY 2026?
58%
Manifold
58%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
5%
Manifold
5%
financeManifold55 traders
S
Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029
38%
Manifold
38%
financeManifold23 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
financeManifold11 traders
S
S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold72 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
75%
Manifold
75%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
64%
Manifold
64%
financeManifold28 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 (Daily, Close) reach above 8000 at any point in 2026?
59%
Manifold
59%
financeManifold19 traders
W
Will IPO count exceed 300 any year between 2024-2027? (AI boom?)
94%
Manifold
94%
financeManifold19 traders
←678
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