OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
155 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will the S&P 500 reach 10000 pts before 2030?
73%
Manifold
73%
financeManifold22 traders
W
Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?
56%
Manifold
56%
financeManifold21 traders
W
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
63%
Manifold
63%
financeManifold11 traders
W
Will there be a recorded case of manipulating the real stock exchange index to obtain a huge amount of แน€ before 2035?
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold13 traders
E
Effective Altruism stock [permanent]
71%
Manifold
71%
financeManifold22 traders
B
By the end of 2027 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
79%
Manifold
79%
financeManifold53 traders
W
Which thresholds will the S&P 500 hit in 2026? โ€” 15,000
1%
Manifold
1%
financeManifold17 traders
W
Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
51%
Manifold
51%
financeManifold28 traders
W
Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?
4%
Manifold
4%
financeManifold13 traders
T
Tesla Stock hits $575 before $300
45%
Manifold
45%
financeManifold14 traders
W
Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2026?
10%
Manifold
10%
financeManifold119 traders
W
What prices will the S&P 500 hit before it hits 6,000 again? โ€” 9,000
35%
Manifold
35%
financeManifold27 traders
W
Will Twitter beat Tumblr at "97% devaluation speedrun"
6%
Manifold
6%
financeManifold49 traders
T
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices] โ€” Above $2500 end of 2030
22%
Manifold
22%
financeManifold27 traders
X
X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years
14%
Manifold
14%
financeManifold14 traders
678
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