Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$795K0pp gap
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1%
Polymarket
2%
Manifold
0%
other2 sources$759K2pp gap
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
19%
↓ 0ppManifold
25%
Polymarket
18%
other2 sources$707K8pp gap
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
35%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
37%
Manifold
28%
other2 sources$566K9pp gap
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
politics2 sources$528K2pp gap
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$464K5pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
85%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
82%
Manifold
91%
ai2 sources$460K9pp gap
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
1%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
other2 sources$315K1pp gap
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
16%
entertainment2 sources$258K13pp gap
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppManifold
0%
Polymarket
0%
other2 sources$225K0pp gap
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
5%
entertainment2 sources$157K4pp gap
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5%
Polymarket
8%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$155K6pp gap
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
17%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
33%
entertainment2 sources$143K21pp gap
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
6%
sports2 sources$125K2pp gap
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$122K1pp gap
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
10%
↑ 10ppPolymarket
11%
Manifold
7%
entertainment2 sources$117K3pp gap
Will Greg Joswiak be the next CEO of Apple?
0%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
ai2 sources$101K0pp gap
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$88K1pp gap
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$84K0pp gap
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
1%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$79K2pp gap