Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
5%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
13%
Manifold
3%
other3 sources$376K10pp gap
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
39%
↓ 10ppPolymarket
39%
Manifold
29%
Gemini
50%
sports3 sources$45K21pp gap
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
58%
↑ 14ppPolymarket
56%
Manifold
59%
Gemini
59%
sports3 sources$9K3pp gap
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
43%
↑ 24ppPolymarket
44%
Gemini
42%
sports2 sources$7K2pp gap
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
98%
↑ 60ppPolymarket
100%
Gemini
81%
sports2 sources$5K19pp gap
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
4%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
10%
sports3 sources$4K8pp gap
Will Rueben Bain Jr. be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
8%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
10%
sports2 sources$4K4pp gap
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
25%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
16%
Gemini
35%
sports2 sources$3K18pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Sonny Styles
46%
Manifold
42%
Gemini
51%
sports2 sources9pp gap
GPT-6 released in 2026?
69%
Manifold
74%
Gemini
63%
other2 sources11pp gap
N
NCAA Final - UConn vs Michigan
27%
Manifold
27%
Gemini
27%
other2 sources0pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
79%
Manifold
61%
Gemini
90%
sports2 sources29pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
59%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
70%
sports2 sources23pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
29%
Manifold
22%
Gemini
37%
sports2 sources15pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Caleb Downs
28%
Manifold
23%
Gemini
34%
sports2 sources11pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
18%
Manifold
14%
Gemini
23%
sports2 sources9pp gap
Survivor 50 winner? — Cirie Fields
15%
Manifold
9%
Gemini
24%
other2 sources15pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama
8%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
13%
sports2 sources8pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami
53%
Manifold
56%
Gemini
49%
sports2 sources7pp gap
Survivor 50 winner? — Aubry Bracco
74%
Manifold
76%
Gemini
72%
other2 sources4pp gap