Xi Jinping out by June 30?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
otherPolymarket$1.8M
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$1.4M2pp gap
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
100%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
100%
otherPolymarket$1.2M
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$1.1M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
9%
— 0ppManifold
20%
Polymarket
4%
other2 sources$1.0M17pp gap
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
9%
↓ 2ppManifold
8%
Polymarket
9%
other2 sources$1.0M1pp gap
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6%
↑ 2ppManifold
2%
Polymarket
17%
politics2 sources$960K15pp gap
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
2%
sports2 sources$954K5pp gap
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
19%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
19%
otherPolymarket$920K
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
21%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
18%
Gemini
25%
sports2 sources$814K7pp gap
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
geopolitics2 sources$775K2pp gap
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
6%
sports2 sources$764K3pp gap
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
42%
— 0ppPolymarket
40%
Gemini
44%
sports2 sources$756K4pp gap
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
11%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
11%
otherPolymarket$707K
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
finance2 sources$697K0pp gap
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$649K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
24%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
17%
Manifold
33%
other2 sources$644K16pp gap
S
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
74%
Polymarket
20%
Gemini
97%
sports2 sources$641K77pp gap
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
otherPolymarket$626K
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
3%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
5%
sports2 sources$593K4pp gap