Venezuela Leader End Of 2026
EVENT
Delcy Rodríguez
64%
Nicolás Maduro
17%
María Corina Machado
14%
other12 candidates +9 more$43.0M+$90K/24h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
14%
Polymarket
18%
Manifold
10%
politics2 sources$22.5M9pp gap
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$21.6M0pp gap
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9%
— 0ppManifold
9%
Polymarket
9%
other2 sources$19.6M0pp gap
What Price Will Wti Hit In April 2026
EVENT
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIG
91%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW
84%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW
74%
other23 candidates +20 more$17.7M+$1.8M/24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$14.6M0pp gap
Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027
EVENT
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.
51%
Pizza Hut
40%
Ubisoft
30%
other11 candidates +8 more$14.3M+$10K/24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
economics2 sources$14.3M1pp gap
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
17%
— 0ppPolymarket
16%
Gemini
19%
Manifold
15%
sports3 sources$14.1M4pp gap
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
97%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
98%
Manifold
97%
economics2 sources$14.1M0pp gap
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
sports2 sources$11.2M2pp gap
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$11.0M2pp gap
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
EVENT
Yulia Navalnaya
10%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
10%
Donald Trump
8%
other19 candidates +16 more$10.4M+$119K/24h
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10%
↓ 2ppGemini
13%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
16%
other3 sources$9.4M12pp gap
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
2%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$9.0M2pp gap
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$8.0M
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
42%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
40%
Gemini
45%
Manifold
40%
sports3 sources$6.3M5pp gap
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
8%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$5.3M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
2%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
2%
otherPolymarket$5.0M
Cl Hit Jun 2026
EVENT
Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85
72%
Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $1
64%
Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80
52%
other18 candidates +15 more$5.0M+$280K/24h