OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
220 questions
Consensus 2+
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2026
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2029
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2030
99%
Manifold
99%
scienceManifold27 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-05-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
78%
Manifold
78%
scienceManifold73 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will NASA's Artemis II complete its mission successfully before 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold70 traders
W
Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?
16%
Manifold
16%
scienceManifold31 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2026-07-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold30 traders
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Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

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