OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
171 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
scienceManifold118 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 13
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold95 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2028-01-01
90%
Manifold
90%
scienceManifold78 traders
W
Will Elon Musk be the CEO of SpaceX on January 1st 2030?
54%
Manifold
54%
scienceManifold20 traders
W
Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?
32%
Manifold
32%
scienceManifold30 traders
W
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
8%
Manifold
8%
scienceManifold12 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — Before 2027
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold33 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2026/10/01
3%
Manifold
3%
scienceManifold29 traders
W
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
38%
Manifold
38%
scienceManifold125 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — 2030
14%
Manifold
14%
scienceManifold33 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2029/01/01
93%
Manifold
93%
scienceManifold29 traders
789
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