W
Will we discover a habitable zone rocky exoplanet with a significant oxygen atmosphere before 2030?
19%
Manifold
19%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
Will the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
43%
Manifold
43%
scienceManifold27 traders
W
Will there be a working Optimus robot on Mars by the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold16 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2028-01-01
95%
Manifold
95%
scienceManifold78 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-09-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold61 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months? — 50-59%
22%
Manifold
22%
scienceManifold11 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2028-01-01
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028?
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold22 traders
W
Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?
9%
Manifold
9%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold46 traders
W
Will SpaceX reach a valuation of $5 Trillion by 2030?
48%
Manifold
48%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold23 traders