When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-10-01
92%
Manifold
92%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
28%
Manifold
28%
scienceManifold14 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2028-01-01
95%
Manifold
95%
scienceManifold78 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 40-49%
14%
Manifold
14%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 70-79%
17%
Manifold
17%
scienceManifold11 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-09-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
W
will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold61 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months? — 50-59%
22%
Manifold
22%
scienceManifold11 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2028-01-01
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will the scientific consensus that the universe's expansion is accelerating end before 2028?
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold22 traders
W
Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?
9%
Manifold
9%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will a human walk on Mars before 2044?
53%
Manifold
53%
scienceManifold49 traders
W
Will the NASA Mars Sample Return Mission be cancelled?
86%
Manifold
86%
scienceManifold40 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2027-04-01
29%
Manifold
29%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will SpaceX join the S&P 500?
90%
Manifold
90%
scienceManifold22 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 50-59%
18%
Manifold
18%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 60-69%
28%
Manifold
28%
scienceManifold11 traders
S
SpaceX / Starlink surpass $50 billion revenue by 2030
82%
Manifold
82%
scienceManifold35 traders
W
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold46 traders
W
Will FDA approve any type of personalized cancer mRNA vaccines before 2028?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold23 traders