W
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold51 traders
W
Will there be ≥30k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2030?
45%
Manifold
45%
scienceManifold24 traders
W
Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
63%
Manifold
63%
scienceManifold27 traders
B
By 2035, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?
46%
Manifold
46%
scienceManifold28 traders
W
Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of Q2 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold15 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-07-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
N
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold135 traders
W
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
12%
Manifold
12%
scienceManifold39 traders
W
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
77%
Manifold
77%
scienceManifold15 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
26%
Manifold
26%
scienceManifold25 traders
W
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
12%
Manifold
12%
scienceManifold48 traders
B
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
64%
Manifold
64%
scienceManifold253 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 15
33%
Manifold
33%
scienceManifold95 traders
W
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
35%
Manifold
35%
scienceManifold45 traders
W
Will SpaceX successfully conduct a crewed mission to Mars before 2035?
11%
Manifold
11%
scienceManifold29 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-01-01
49%
Manifold
49%
scienceManifold75 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2027-04-01
69%
Manifold
69%
scienceManifold75 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2027/04/01
39%
Manifold
39%
scienceManifold29 traders