When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2029-01-01
82%
Manifold
82%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
45%
Manifold
45%
scienceManifold21 traders
W
Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?
16%
Manifold
16%
scienceManifold50 traders
N
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold135 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2028-01-01
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold32 traders
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched? — By Dec 31, 2030
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold27 traders
W
Will NASA establish a standard time zone or timekeeping method for the moon by the end of 2026
64%
Manifold
64%
scienceManifold24 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2027-01-01
11%
Manifold
11%
scienceManifold30 traders
W
Will there be internet service on Mars at the end of 2060?
45%
Manifold
45%
scienceManifold23 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2028-07-01
77%
Manifold
77%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold35 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2027-10-01
47%
Manifold
47%
scienceManifold32 traders
S
SpaceX kills a human in a rocket by 2035
29%
Manifold
29%
scienceManifold24 traders
I
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?
60%
Manifold
60%
scienceManifold39 traders
W
Will the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
25%
Manifold
25%
scienceManifold27 traders
W
Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?
26%
Manifold
26%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030?
4%
Manifold
4%
scienceManifold53 traders
D
Does 2000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
62%
Manifold
62%
scienceManifold15 traders
W
Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?
76%
Manifold
76%
scienceManifold23 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2027-04-01
29%
Manifold
29%
scienceManifold32 traders