OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
219 questions
H
Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ?
29%
Manifold
29%
scienceManifold51 traders
W
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
9%
Manifold
9%
scienceManifold118 traders
D
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)
37%
Manifold
37%
scienceManifold45 traders
S
Starlink (SpaceX) has operational internet satellites in Moon orbit by 2035
63%
Manifold
63%
scienceManifold13 traders
W
will 2026 bring a offical breakthrough in the Kurt Cobain death investigation?
12%
Manifold
12%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
56%
Manifold
56%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
97%
Manifold
97%
scienceManifold12 traders
W
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
71%
Manifold
71%
scienceManifold175 traders
W
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
17%
Manifold
17%
scienceManifold276 traders
W
Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
80%
Manifold
80%
scienceManifold47 traders
When will SpaceX land on the moon? — >= 2032
31%
Manifold
31%
scienceManifold33 traders
W
Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2040?
18%
Manifold
18%
scienceManifold32 traders
W
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
19%
Manifold
19%
scienceManifold72 traders
P
Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026
67%
Manifold
67%
scienceManifold23 traders
W
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold21 traders
W
Will SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
61%
Manifold
61%
scienceManifold22 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2027/07/01
52%
Manifold
52%
scienceManifold29 traders
W
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
43%
Manifold
43%
scienceManifold21 traders
N
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold135 traders
W
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2027?
98%
Manifold
98%
scienceManifold21 traders
45678
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