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human steps on moon again
98%
Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or
97%
Saw XI Releases in USA
95%
science11 candidates +8 more
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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months? — 20-29%
5%
Manifold
5%
scienceManifold11 traders
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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months? — 30-39%
8%
Manifold
8%
scienceManifold11 traders
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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months? — 40-49%
10%
Manifold
10%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
Will NASA astronauts be walking on the Moon by July 20th, 2029?
30%
Manifold
30%
scienceManifold11 traders
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Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
90%
Manifold
90%
scienceManifold20 traders
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve? — By end of 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold17 traders
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Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
4%
Manifold
4%
scienceManifold12 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 20
84%
Manifold
84%
scienceManifold95 traders
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster? — 14
15%
Manifold
15%
scienceManifold95 traders
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Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
2%
Manifold
2%
scienceManifold104 traders
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Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX
29%
Manifold
29%
scienceManifold18 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2027/01/01
15%
Manifold
15%
scienceManifold29 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2027/07/01
54%
Manifold
54%
scienceManifold29 traders
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship? — 2027/10/01
73%
Manifold
73%
scienceManifold29 traders
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Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?
24%
Manifold
24%
scienceManifold14 traders
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Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?
3%
Manifold
3%
scienceManifold11 traders
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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 20-29%
9%
Manifold
9%
scienceManifold11 traders
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What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 30-39%
11%
Manifold
11%
scienceManifold11 traders
W
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months? — 50-59%
15%
Manifold
15%
scienceManifold11 traders