OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
247,376
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026? — Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
4%
Futuur
4%
scienceFutuur$8
Average Global Surface Air Temperature Anomaly In 2026 Relative To The Pre Industrial Baseline
Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C
50%
Between 1.39 °C and 1.42 °C
18%
Between 1.48 °C and 1.51 °C
18%
science5 candidates +2 more$6
I9Q2Qci9Zp
Influenza (seasonal flu shot
65%
MMR
57%
Hepatitis B
37%
science11 candidates +8 more
Ixfz6059Uit8Oa479Iej
President with Green Eyes el
78%
Crewed mission to Phobos
78%
USA adds 52nd state
76%
science2 candidates
L
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40-49.99999 days
23%
50-59.99999 days
20%
35-39.99999 days
15%
science17 candidates +14 more
L
Lln8Lcgoo2
No
66%
Yes, but only inclusive of S
33%
Yes, exclusive of SpaceX / S
1%
science2 candidates
N
Nfh6Ax5Isvhb2Mwr3Mcs
IFT 14
62%
IFT 15
30%
Other
8%
science5 candidates +2 more
N
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August 2026 1.345C or more
68%
August 2026 1.295C or more a
26%
August 2026 1.245C or more a
4%
science6 candidates +3 more
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Prediction markets are good
91%
Sexism and racism, among oth
90%
Tenet (Christopher Nolan fil
86%
science7 candidates +4 more
P
P5Y86P9Ict
Above normal (115 < ACE < 31
71%
Near-normal (80 < ACE < 115)
20%
Record high (ACE > 318.1)
7%
science5 candidates +2 more
P
Pnaqizqz96
14 or more
72%
13
23%
12
2%
science7 candidates +4 more
P
Pypzcls9Hu
Yemen
70%
Houthi controlled Yemen
66%
Syria III (post Jan 18th)
65%
science2 candidates
R
Rcl2I5Sdyu
Edouard
53%
Gonzalo
53%
Fay
51%
science18 candidates +15 more
R
Rn5Pe9Yrz8
Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or
98%
human steps on moon again
98%
Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or
97%
science11 candidates +8 more
R
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≥$3T
64%
≥$4T
37%
≥$5T
14%
science7 candidates +4 more
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Wuhan Institute of Virology,
44%
Wuhan CDC
10%
Wuhan Institute of Virology,
9%
science11 candidates +8 more
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Conditional on resolving YES
39%
Conditional on resolving YES
30%
Conditional on resolving NO,
25%
science8 candidates +5 more
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Democrat party has directly
80%
TikTok is controlled by the
62%
Someone working for a US int
59%
science4 candidates +1 more
U
U9Nzcztqez
Chat GPT 6 releases
94%
GOP loses control of the Hou
91%
GTA VI Release
89%
science2 candidates
U
Ubjajf0Kufrmyvs8Lpir
At least 1 Male
83%
At least 1 has been in the a
80%
At least 1 Female
73%
science8 candidates +5 more
34567
Odds Raven

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