OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,010
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
173 questions
Consensus 2+
SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028? — SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
6%
Futuur
6%
scienceFutuur$138
Average Global Surface Air Temperature Anomaly In 2026 Relative To The Pre Industrial Baseline
Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C
50%
Between 1.48 °C and 1.51 °C
18%
Between 1.39 °C and 1.42 °C
18%
science5 candidates +2 more$125
Extinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027? — Extinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027?
42%
Futuur
42%
scienceFutuur$122
Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026? — Arctic sea ice minimum to decrease in 2026?
83%
Futuur
83%
scienceFutuur$112
Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026? — Major earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
4%
Futuur
4%
scienceFutuur$101
Will Artificial blood be considered safe and effective for patients in Japan by the end of 2026? — Will Artificial blood be considered safe and effective for patients in Japan by the end of 2026?
9%
Futuur
9%
scienceFutuur$100
Will Artificial wombs for premature babies be tested in humans by the end of 2026? — Will Artificial wombs for premature babies be tested in humans by the end of 2026?
3%
Futuur
3%
scienceFutuur$94
C
Cu88Ucquyu
≥$1.5T
98%
≥$1.75T
96%
≥$2T
83%
science7 candidates +4 more
C
Cytgaz2Puq
12
33%
11
25%
13
18%
science7 candidates +4 more
D
Dsqt2Ha8St
$SPCX
99%
Other
0%
science2 candidates
Dtdi54Tmowiitsjczi8W
2029
16%
2030
16%
2031
13%
science13 candidates +10 more
E
Ecuydy9Ct0
Sensor fusion
73%
Pure vision
27%
science2 candidates
E
Edqcrgeqhy
american airstrike or drone
99%
Anthropic or Meta release a
99%
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
99%
science2 candidates
E
Enzslpupy5
≥$1.75T
97%
≥$2.25T
65%
≥$3T
58%
science9 candidates +6 more
G2Ly0X0Slh
2031
14%
2030
12%
2032
12%
science19 candidates +16 more
G
G5L5Lyry2D
≥$1.5T
97%
≥$1.75T
94%
≥$2T
78%
science6 candidates +3 more
G
Gaylpudh8C
China Academy of Space Techn
40%
SpaceX
34%
Blue Origin
24%
science4 candidates +1 more
G
Gi5Z8Tr0L5
Below normal (2.53 < ACE < 7
52%
Near-normal ( 73 < ACE < 126
31%
Above normal (126.1 < ACE <
13%
science6 candidates +3 more
H
H5Qu2Hq6Tl
Philippines
87%
Fiji Region
58%
Other
50%
science23 candidates +20 more
H5Rp2Sclps
Tanker
87%
Propellant Depot
59%
Human Landing System (HLS)
57%
science2 candidates
23456
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