Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
26%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
26%
sciencePolymarket$170K
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
10%
Polymarket
10%
sciencePolymarket$135K
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
92%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
92%
sciencePolymarket$120K
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
95%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
sciencePolymarket$113K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
37%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
37%
sciencePolymarket$110K
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
10%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
10%
sciencePolymarket$89K
Spacex Starship Flight Test
SpaceX Starship Flight Test
94%
Starship for SpaceX Starship
74%
chopsticks catch SpaceX Star
0%
science3 candidates $61K+$14K/24h
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
61%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
61%
sciencePolymarket$50K
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
99%
Polymarket
99%
sciencePolymarket$45K
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
76%
Polymarket
76%
sciencePolymarket$37K
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
5%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
5%
sciencePolymarket$13K
Elon Bull Run Parlay
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
sciencePolymarket$10K
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
10%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
10%
sciencePolymarket$8K
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
sciencePolymarket$3K
Average Global Surface Air Temperature Anomaly In 2026 Relative To The Pre Industrial Baseline
Between 1.43 °C and 1.47 °C
38%
1.52 °C or higher
23%
Between 1.48 °C and 1.51 °C
17%
science5 candidates +2 more$3K
What Will Be The Rise In Sea Level In The Next Report Prepared By The Ipcc
Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm
46%
Between 3.71 mm to 4.2 mm
19%
Greater than 4.21 mm
19%
science4 candidates +1 more$1K
SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026? — SpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
7%
Futuur
7%
scienceFutuur$1K
SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026? — SpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
1%
Futuur
1%
scienceFutuur$798
Construction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026? — Construction of the space hotel Voyager Station to begin by the end of 2026?
6%
Futuur
6%
scienceFutuur$595
RaniPill microneedle pill to replace injections: approved for sale by the end of 2026? — RaniPill microneedle pill to replace injections: approved for sale by the end of 2026?
7%
Futuur
7%
scienceFutuur$518