OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 20 min ago
219 questions
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
sciencePolymarket$12K
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
28%
↓ 20pp
Polymarket
28%
sciencePolymarket$12K
Elon Bull Run Parlay
18%
Polymarket
18%
sciencePolymarket$9K
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
7%
Polymarket
7%
sciencePolymarket$8K
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?
30%
↓ 32pp
Polymarket
30%
sciencePolymarket$8K
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?
5%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
5%
sciencePolymarket$7K
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?
0%
↓ 14pp
Polymarket
0%
sciencePolymarket$4K
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
15%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
15%
sciencePolymarket$4K
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
3%
Polymarket
3%
sciencePolymarket$3K
Which team wins 2026 Stanley Cup — Carolina Hurricanes
14%
Manifold
14%
Gemini
15%
sports2 sources1pp gap
N
Nfh6Ax5Isvhb2Mwr3Mcs
EVENT
Before which Starship flight
31%
Before which Starship flight
29%
Before which Starship flight
23%
science6 candidates +3 more
Nogyxdr95E
EVENT
Who will
42%
Who will
41%
Who will
26%
science2 candidates
Nvdzso4Vvdefop0Xklz3
EVENT
What's an unconventional opi
91%
What's an unconventional opi
91%
What's an unconventional opi
86%
science7 candidates +4 more
O
Oo90Znzupa
EVENT
🌼What will happen in May 202
85%
🌼What will happen in May 202
73%
🌼What will happen in May 202
73%
science3 candidates
O
Opeihccorl
EVENT
Who will IPO first: Discord
83%
Who will IPO first: Discord
17%
science2 candidates
O
Oquopunrel
EVENT
Who will support a lab leak
76%
Who will support a lab leak
74%
Who will support a lab leak
72%
science18 candidates +15 more
P
Pypzcls9Hu
EVENT
Where will the US attack in
77%
Where will the US attack in
77%
Where will the US attack in
73%
science2 candidates
Q
Qyq8Hhqo86
EVENT
How many successful SpaceX l
82%
How many successful SpaceX l
10%
How many successful SpaceX l
4%
science7 candidates +4 more
R
Rhdlqsc9T5
EVENT
Elon Musk come out against o
31%
Elon Musk come out against o
13%
Elon Musk come out against o
4%
science3 candidates
R
Rn5Pe9Yrz8
EVENT
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of th
98%
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of th
93%
🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of th
92%
science11 candidates +8 more
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