OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
248,088
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
178 questions
Consensus 2+
Will Karim Benzema return to Real Madrid in the summer of 2026? — Will Karim Benzema return to Real Madrid in the summer of 2026?
2%
Futuur
2%
sportsFutuur$292
W
Will Tom Brady play in an NFL game again before the end of 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
sportsManifold19 traders
W
Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?
91%
Manifold
91%
sportsManifold13 traders
W
Will India settle their Kashmir conflict with Pakistan before January 1st 2035?
26%
Manifold
26%
sportsManifold40 traders
W
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
64%
Manifold
64%
sportsManifold21 traders
W
Will a team of robots win a game of soccer against the winners of the most recent World Cup by the end of 2050?
21%
Manifold
21%
sportsManifold20 traders
U
Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?
26%
Manifold
26%
sportsManifold20 traders
W
Will Lionel Messi go on to coach a team that wins the FIFA world cup?
7%
Manifold
7%
sportsManifold14 traders
[
[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
11%
Manifold
11%
sportsManifold17 traders
W
Will NASA's Dragonfly mission find life on Titan?
9%
Manifold
9%
sportsManifold16 traders
W
Will Barry Bonds be admitted to the MLB Hall of Fame during his lifetime?
59%
Manifold
59%
sportsManifold38 traders
W
Will Wembanyama start games in every NBA season from 2024 to 2029?
90%
Manifold
90%
sportsManifold19 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 6.0%
11%
Manifold
11%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.5%
17%
Manifold
17%
sportsManifold14 traders
W
Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026? — y ≥ 5.0%
30%
Manifold
30%
sportsManifold14 traders
H
How many F1 races will be rescheduled, moved, or cancelled this season? — 9+
3%
Manifold
3%
sportsManifold49 traders
W
Will Roger Clemens be admitted to the MLB Hall of Fame during his lifetime?
50%
Manifold
50%
sportsManifold31 traders
W
Will Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
2%
Manifold
2%
sportsManifold13 traders
789
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