Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3%
Polymarket
2%
Gemini
5%
Manifold
2%
sports3 sources$9.4M3pp gap
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10%
↓ 2ppGemini
13%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
16%
other3 sources$9.4M12pp gap
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.2M3pp gap
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$9.1M2pp gap
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$8.5M2pp gap
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7%
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
7%
sports3 sources$8.3M3pp gap
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
5%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$7.9M4pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M2pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$6.0M4pp gap
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11%
— 0ppGemini
13%
Manifold
10%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$5.9M4pp gap
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
6%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$5.7M4pp gap
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$5.1M4pp gap
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$4.9M4pp gap
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$4.4M4pp gap
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44%
↓ 1ppGemini
42%
Manifold
50%
Polymarket
40%
politics3 sources$4.4M10pp gap
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
3%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
2%
politics4 sources$4.2M2pp gap
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36%
↑ 1ppGemini
40%
Manifold
30%
Polymarket
38%
politics3 sources$3.9M10pp gap