Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
3%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
2%
politics4 sources$4.2M2pp gap
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$3.8M2pp gap
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1%
— 0ppManifold
1%
Polymarket
0%
Predictit
3%
politics3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8%
— 0ppGemini
9%
Polymarket
9%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$770K2pp gap
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3%
↓ 1ppManifold
8%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
3%
politics3 sources$707K7pp gap
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3%
↓ 1ppGemini
5%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$679K5pp gap
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
1%
— 0ppManifold
0%
Polymarket
0%
Predictit
2%
politics3 sources$658K2pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↓ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
6%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$609K3pp gap
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
Manifold
2%
politics3 sources$535K3pp gap
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
97%
Manifold
98%
Polymarket
96%
Predictit
96%
politics3 sources$38K3pp gap
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
91%
Polymarket
82%
Predictit
96%
politics2 sources$27K15pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
93%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
92%
Predictit
93%
politics2 sources$23K1pp gap
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
96%
Manifold
97%
Polymarket
92%
Predictit
97%
politics3 sources$15K4pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
6%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
7%
Predictit
5%
politics2 sources$10K2pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
5%
Polymarket
6%
Predictit
5%
politics2 sources$9K0pp gap
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
88%
Polymarket
74%
Predictit
95%
politics2 sources$8K21pp gap
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
35%
Polymarket
6%
Predictit
97%
Manifold
7%
politics3 sources$8K91pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
96%
— 0ppManifold
95%
Polymarket
95%
Predictit
98%
politics3 sources$8K3pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
94%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
93%
Predictit
94%
Manifold
95%
politics3 sources$7K2pp gap