Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.3M9pp gap
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
94%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
94%
sportsPolymarket$1.3M
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
US recession by end of 2026?
24%
↓ 7ppPolymarket
24%
economicsPolymarket$1.3M
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
63%
↑ 18ppPolymarket
63%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.2M
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.2M3pp gap
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
46%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
46%
cryptoPolymarket$1.2M
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
4%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.1M3pp gap
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
8%
— 0ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$1.1M
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.0M3pp gap
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.0M
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$1.0M
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
6%
↓ 15ppPolymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$986K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$966K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
54%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
54%
politicsPolymarket$938K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
geopoliticsPolymarket$929K
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
18%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
18%
otherPolymarket$928K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$922K