O
OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date — Before September 2026
41%
Manifold
41%
aiManifold20 traders
O
OpenAI's next "GPT-OSS" release date — Before 2027
67%
Manifold
67%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will AI (large language models) collapse by may 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of 2026?
95%
Manifold
95%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
33%
Manifold
33%
aiManifold20 traders
W
Will Gemini be more popular than Chatgpt at the end of 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
aiManifold20 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2027
10%
Manifold
10%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2028
21%
Manifold
21%
aiManifold19 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2029
22%
Manifold
22%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?
54%
Manifold
54%
aiManifold18 traders
W
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀 — Before December 31st 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
aiManifold19 traders
W
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀 — Before July 2026
8%
Manifold
8%
aiManifold19 traders
W
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀 — Before December 31st 2026
24%
Manifold
24%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?
57%
Manifold
57%
aiManifold17 traders
W
Within the next 5 years, there will be meaningful number of people (>10,000) who treat an LLM as a religious authority figure.
80%
Manifold
80%
aiManifold159 traders
A
Anthropic 2025 Revenue — $4-5 billion
10%
Manifold
10%
aiManifold18 traders
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date — Before 2026-06-01
89%
Manifold
89%
aiManifold149 traders
S
Superintelligence Stock [Permanent]
58%
Manifold
58%
aiManifold18 traders
W
Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
17%
Manifold
17%
aiManifold17 traders