OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 22 min ago
149 questions
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
Manifold
7%
economics2 sources$81K2pp gap
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
48%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
48%
economicsPolymarket$80K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$63K
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
17%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
17%
economicsPolymarket$61K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
27%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
27%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
62%
Polymarket
62%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Canada recession before 2027?
37%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
37%
economicsPolymarket$57K
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
34%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
34%
economicsPolymarket$45K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
12%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
12%
economicsPolymarket$40K
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
68%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
68%
economicsPolymarket$37K
Bank Of Mexico Decision In May
EVENT
Bank of Mexico announce no c
80%
Bank of Mexico announce a de
18%
Bank of Mexico announce an i
1%
economics3 candidates $35K+$4K/24h
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
34%
↑ 6pp
Polymarket
34%
economicsPolymarket$34K
Bank Of Japan Decision In June
EVENT
No change in Bank of Japan’s
52%
Bank of Japan decreases inte
3%
economics2 candidates $25K+$604/24h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
economicsPolymarket$24K
What Will Powell Say During April Press Conference
EVENT
Powell say "Good Afternoon"
97%
Powell say "Inflation" 40+ t
81%
Powell say "AI" or "Artifici
74%
economics4 candidates +1 more$24K+$9K/24h
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$24K
ECB rate cut in 2026?
26%
Polymarket
26%
economicsPolymarket$23K
UK GDP Growth In Q1 2026
EVENT
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
38%
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
36%
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
8%
economics4 candidates +1 more$19K+$102/24h
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
50%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
50%
economicsPolymarket$19K
How Many Dissent At The Next FED Meeting
EVENT
one person dissent the April
60%
no one dissent the April Fed
6%
four or more people dissent
2%
economics3 candidates $16K+$177/24h
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