0
0Cdnsis0Tp
At least 4 GOP Senators expl
85%
EU implements relaliatory ta
82%
At least 5 GOP House members
76%
economics2 candidates
U
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
39%
Manifold
39%
economicsManifold25 traders
W
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold52 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2025
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
97%
Manifold
97%
economicsManifold68 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2024
0%
Manifold
0%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?
27%
Manifold
27%
economicsManifold25 traders
B
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold597 traders
R
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
93%
Manifold
93%
economicsManifold12 traders
What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back? — Resolves No at end of 2030
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold31 traders
🇺
🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
19%
Manifold
19%
economicsManifold12 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
70%
Manifold
70%
economicsManifold42 traders
W
Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
economicsManifold13 traders
W
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
64%
Manifold
64%
economicsManifold31 traders
W
World GDP grows by an order of magnitude in 10 years?
10%
Manifold
10%
economicsManifold19 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2026
2%
Manifold
2%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
economicsManifold47 traders
W
Will the UK be the best performing country by GDP growth in Europe in 2028
6%
Manifold
6%
economicsManifold33 traders
W
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
economicsManifold19 traders
U
US recession in 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
economicsManifold35 traders