OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
115 questions
C
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Between 2% and 4%
39%
Between 4% and 6%
33%
More than 6%
12%
economics7 candidates +4 more
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Before Q1 2030
74%
Before Q3 2029
66%
Before Q1 2029
58%
economics10 candidates +7 more
9
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1 cut (Target 3.25-3.50)
26%
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)
22%
2 cuts (Target 3.00-3.25)
19%
economics6 candidates +3 more
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Italy
80%
Slovenia
79%
Spain
78%
economics4 candidates +1 more
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USA
72%
Norway
61%
Switzerland
61%
economics11 candidates +8 more
H
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after 2049 or never
34%
2030-2039
31%
2040-49
19%
economics4 candidates +1 more
Z
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Gini coefficient is less tha
92%
Median wage for “computer an
92%
largest 5 companies don’t ac
91%
economics2 candidates
G
Goseu682Ru
2026
38%
2027
21%
2029
17%
economics6 candidates +3 more
I
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Reserve Bank of New Zealand
78%
European Central Bank
77%
Bank of Japan
74%
economics10 candidates +7 more
L
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>5.0% to 5.3%
46%
>5.3% to 5.6%
27%
>5.6%
14%
economics5 candidates +2 more
W
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold52 traders
W
Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold15 traders
W
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
19%
Manifold
19%
economicsManifold11 traders
W
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
11%
Manifold
11%
economicsManifold28 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
63%
Manifold
63%
economicsManifold36 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2023
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2024
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2025
5%
Manifold
5%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2026
17%
Manifold
17%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — >2026
76%
Manifold
76%
economicsManifold20 traders
3456
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