U
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
70%
Manifold
70%
economicsManifold25 traders
W
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold168 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — >2026
94%
Manifold
94%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
73%
Manifold
73%
economicsManifold36 traders
W
Will the US debt-to-GDP ratio rise between 2023 and 2030
82%
Manifold
82%
economicsManifold15 traders
Fed rate hike in 2026?
46%
Manifold
46%
economicsManifold21 traders
W
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
10%
Manifold
10%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold22 traders
W
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
54%
Manifold
54%
economicsManifold102 traders
B
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
34%
Manifold
34%
economicsManifold597 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
20%
Manifold
20%
economicsManifold12 traders
W
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
54%
Manifold
54%
economicsManifold34 traders
W
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
67%
Manifold
67%
economicsManifold42 traders
W
Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
20%
Manifold
20%
economicsManifold15 traders
W
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold11 traders
W
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
56%
Manifold
56%
economicsManifold19 traders
U
US recession in 2026?
8%
Manifold
8%
economicsManifold97 traders
W
Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold11 traders
U
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
29%
Manifold
29%
economicsManifold16 traders