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OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
152 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will the US lift all sanctions on Iran before 2029?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
33%
Manifold
33%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
90%
Manifold
90%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
43%
Manifold
43%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold15 traders
W
Will the UK face the "longest recession in G7"?
82%
Manifold
82%
economicsManifold14 traders
W
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
economicsManifold12 traders
W
Will the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
21%
Manifold
21%
economicsManifold11 traders
W
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
19%
Manifold
19%
economicsManifold11 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2025
5%
Manifold
5%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2026
17%
Manifold
17%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — >2026
76%
Manifold
76%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
31%
Manifold
31%
economicsManifold17 traders
R
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
82%
Manifold
82%
economicsManifold12 traders
W
Will India surpass China in terms of GDP before 2050?
34%
Manifold
34%
economicsManifold50 traders
W
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
18%
Manifold
18%
economicsManifold169 traders
W
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
44%
Manifold
44%
economicsManifold34 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2023
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
98%
Manifold
98%
economicsManifold68 traders
W
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 6% as measured from a prior peak?
77%
Manifold
77%
economicsManifold14 traders
←5678→
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