W
Will unemployment in the US be higher in September 2026 than in either September 2022 or September 2024?
91%
Manifold
91%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold12 traders
W
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
15%
Manifold
15%
economicsManifold16 traders
U
US recession in 2026?
14%
Manifold
14%
economicsManifold35 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2026
16%
Manifold
16%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — >2026
78%
Manifold
78%
economicsManifold20 traders
ECB rate hike in 2026?
98%
Manifold
98%
economicsManifold11 traders
U
US recession in 2026?
13%
Manifold
13%
economicsManifold97 traders
W
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
29%
Manifold
29%
economicsManifold16 traders
W
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
38%
Manifold
38%
economicsManifold17 traders
W
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
96%
Manifold
96%
economicsManifold68 traders
W
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
42%
Manifold
42%
economicsManifold102 traders
W
Will the US fake GDP statistics by the end of 2026?
24%
Manifold
24%
economicsManifold30 traders
W
Will the US experience a recession during 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
economicsManifold47 traders
W
Will AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
19%
Manifold
19%
economicsManifold52 traders
U
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
70%
Manifold
70%
economicsManifold25 traders
I
If human brain emulations are created, will the 10 highest GDP nations all have granted them human rights after a year?
23%
Manifold
23%
economicsManifold32 traders
W
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States) — 2023
1%
Manifold
1%
economicsManifold20 traders
W
Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?
30%
Manifold
30%
economicsManifold36 traders
W
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
22%
Manifold
22%
economicsManifold169 traders