OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
178 questions
Consensus 2+
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GTA 6
68%
GPT-6
32%
entertainment2 candidates
R
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human steps on moon again
98%
Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or
97%
Saw XI Releases in USA
95%
entertainment5 candidates +2 more
T
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United Kingdom
15%
Other
15%
Italy
7%
entertainment20 candidates +17 more
T
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Super Mario Galaxy Movie
98%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
98%
Project Hail Mary
97%
entertainment12 candidates +9 more
U
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GTA VI Release
89%
GOP loses control of the Hou
87%
MLB World Series won by the
66%
entertainment2 candidates
U
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Big Short (2025)
27%
Nashville (1975)
10%
Hoppers (2026)
9%
entertainment11 candidates +8 more
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Bourne
95%
Pirates of the Caribbean
94%
Insidious
91%
entertainment13 candidates +10 more
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Second half of 2026
68%
Other
27%
First half of 2026
1%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
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Half Life 3
92%
Red Dead Redemption 3
85%
Alan Wake 3
83%
entertainment35 candidates +32 more
Y
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Olivia Rodrigo
98%
Dermot Kennedy
98%
Phoebe Bridgers
84%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
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GTA 6 is released
99%
windows 12 released by micro
95%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy stops be
90%
entertainment2 candidates
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Ron Weasley is a redhead
99%
Harry Potter is white
98%
At least one named character
97%
entertainment6 candidates +3 more
0
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Other
99%
Super Mario Galaxy Movie
98%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
97%
entertainment13 candidates +10 more
1
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Josh D’Amaro
95%
Other
3%
Andrew Wilson
1%
entertainment8 candidates +5 more
2
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Super Mario Galaxy Movie
99%
Avengers Doomsday
87%
Toy Story 5
86%
entertainment11 candidates +8 more
2
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Moana (live action)
77%
Dune: Messiah
68%
Jumanji Open Would
61%
entertainment26 candidates +23 more
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
W
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?
24%
Manifold
24%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
47%
Manifold
47%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
72%
Manifold
72%
entertainmentManifold51 traders
34567
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