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Second half of 2026
96%
Other
2%
First half of 2025
0%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
Y
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Olivia Rodrigo
98%
Dermot Kennedy
98%
Phoebe Bridgers
98%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
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Hot Together - The Pointer S
93%
Love Is A Long Road - Tom Pe
93%
Everybody Have Fun Tonight -
86%
entertainment10 candidates +7 more
Z
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Spider-Man: Brand New Day
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
43%
entertainment2 candidates
W
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
47%
Manifold
47%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear in a movie that grosses over $20M at the box office before 2028?
18%
Manifold
18%
entertainmentManifold30 traders
W
Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will GTA 6 get delayed once again?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
I
Is GTA 6 getting delayed again in 2026?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
W
Will a mainstream movie or TV series depict Muhammad or Allah in an entertaining way before 2035?
55%
Manifold
55%
entertainmentManifold34 traders
W
Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
A
A self described Solarpunk movie has a theatre release before Halloween 2030
90%
Manifold
90%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will the GTA VI leaker be publicly identified before GTA VI releases?
7%
Manifold
7%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will Disney+ shut down by the end of 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will they announce a glee reboot movie or show by the end of 2027?
95%
Manifold
95%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
B
By 2030, will AI be able to produce a song that is indistinguishable from a new song by a particular artist?
79%
Manifold
79%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold65 traders
W
Will TIDAL be discontinued as a music streaming service before the end of 2030?
46%
Manifold
46%
entertainmentManifold22 traders