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Between 549 and 730 days (tw
33%
Between 366 and 548 days (ei
27%
Between 183 and 365 days (on
19%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
U
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Chat GPT 6 releases
94%
GOP loses control of the Hou
91%
GTA VI Release
89%
entertainment2 candidates
U
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Toy Story 2 (1999)
18%
Sheep Detective (2026)
17%
Nashville (1975)
12%
entertainment16 candidates +13 more
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Jackie Chan
33%
Ken Watanabe
32%
Keanu Reeves
23%
entertainment39 candidates +36 more
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Second half of 2026
91%
Other
6%
First half of 2025
1%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
Y
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Olivia Rodrigo
98%
Dermot Kennedy
98%
Phoebe Bridgers
98%
entertainment7 candidates +4 more
W
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2034
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
G
GTA VI costs over $100 at launch?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
W
Which will come first, a female POTUS (Yes) or GTA 6 (No)?
2%
Manifold
2%
entertainmentManifold25 traders
W
Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold31 traders
G
GTA 6 released before August 1, 2026?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold23 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2032
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — <=2025
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
I
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
W
Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2050?
76%
Manifold
76%
entertainmentManifold36 traders
W
Will Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
51%
Manifold
51%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
66%
Manifold
66%
entertainmentManifold51 traders