OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
204 questions
W
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
'
'One Battle After Another' wins Best Picture Oscar?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will Rockstar officially announce another delay of GTA 6 before launch?
33%
Manifold
33%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
will any movie released in 2026 make more than Avatar { in 2026}
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Belgium withdraw from Eurovision 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
93%
Manifold
93%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Drake diss Kendrick on any song on Iceman?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold39 traders
L
Lauren Sanchez in the next Bond film?
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In 2028, will a publicly available AI be able to generate a full high-quality film to a prompt?
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold33 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
G
GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold96 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52%
Manifold
52%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
W
Will a member of the EU win Eurovision?
78%
Manifold
78%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will the Unsong musical be good?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold71 traders
B
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
73%
Manifold
73%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
A
A major hollywood movie about Covid comes out portraying the CCP negatively before 2035
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold43 traders
G
GTA VI released in 2026?
83%
Manifold
83%
entertainmentManifold42 traders
34567
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