G
GTA 6 released before P. Diddy leaves prison?
91%
Manifold
91%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2026
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2031
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold39 traders
B
Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold48 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
52%
Manifold
52%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
B
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
W
Will any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?
12%
Manifold
12%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
W
Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?
55%
Manifold
55%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
10%
Manifold
10%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2029
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — >=2035
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
43%
Manifold
43%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
59%
Manifold
59%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
33%
Manifold
33%
entertainmentManifold4373 traders
W
Will there be a "Wicked 3" movie?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold22 traders
W
Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
W
Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold18 traders