OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 16 min ago
149 questions
I
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
69%
Manifold
69%
entertainmentManifold47 traders
W
Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030?
84%
Manifold
84%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will Belgium withdraw from Eurovision 2026?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
93%
Manifold
93%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold39 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
40%
Manifold
40%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
S
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
64%
Manifold
64%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
G
GTA VI will have Spotify integration for the in-game radio
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold24 traders
G
GTA 6 released before P. Diddy leaves prison?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
74%
Manifold
74%
entertainmentManifold51 traders
G
GTA VI will have a mission involving the launch of a spaceship (probably belonging to a satirical billionaire)
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will the Netflix One Piece live action adaptation be cancelled before a third season?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
A
A major hollywood movie about Covid comes out portraying the CCP negatively before 2035
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold43 traders
W
Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold100 traders
W
What will be true about The Super Mario Galaxy Movie? [Add Answers!] — Beach bowl galaxy is featured
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold21 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2029
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
45678
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