OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,057
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
204,328
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2028
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will Ron Jeremy live long enough to see the first released sex/porn film shot on the moon?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will a NPC of a major video game realize they are a NPC before 2030?
48%
Manifold
48%
entertainmentManifold56 traders
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2027?
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
W
Will the Supergirl movie make over 850 million dollars worldwide?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2026
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
K
Keir starmer UK PM on day GTA 6 is released?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before the final issue of One Piece?
95%
Manifold
95%
entertainmentManifold57 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
53%
Manifold
53%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?
10%
Manifold
10%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
W
Will the Supergirl movie make over 600 million dollars worldwide?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2030
7%
Manifold
7%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will any MF DOOM songs be played during the MCU film DOOMSDAY?
27%
Manifold
27%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
34%
Manifold
34%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold347 traders
W
Will the Unsong musical be good?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold71 traders
W
Will GTA 6 get delayed once again?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
91%
Manifold
91%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
45678
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