W
Will Rockstar officially announce another delay of GTA 6 before launch?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?
60%
Manifold
60%
entertainmentManifold65 traders
S
SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold34 traders
T
Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2034
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Kim Kardashian ever pass the California bar exam?
56%
Manifold
56%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2027 be composed by AI?
60%
Manifold
60%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2030
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold55 traders
W
Will GTA 6 come out on November 19, 2026?
92%
Manifold
92%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold33 traders
W
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.0 on IMDB by 2028?
43%
Manifold
43%
entertainmentManifold61 traders
B
Before 2030, will we have AI that can play Minecraft, understand movies, etc. and not resist shutdown?
81%
Manifold
81%
entertainmentManifold48 traders
B
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold63 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045?
60%
Manifold
60%
entertainmentManifold55 traders
G
GTA VI released in 2026?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold42 traders
W
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?
20%
Manifold
20%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
T
Third Dune movie, but NOT directed by Villeneuve, before 2030?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before the final issue of One Piece?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold57 traders