OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
298,960
Markets
Data refreshed 2 min ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Spotify still be a popular music streaming service in 2 years
94%
Manifold
94%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
41%
Manifold
41%
entertainmentManifold96 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
8%
Manifold
8%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2030
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold55 traders
W
Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be postponed again?
8%
Manifold
8%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will GTA 6 get delayed once again?
9%
Manifold
9%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Rockstar Games Company ever release GTA 6 for PC users?
91%
Manifold
91%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?
79%
Manifold
79%
entertainmentManifold19 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2029
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — >=2035
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold38 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 750 million at the worldwide box office?
75%
Manifold
75%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — <=2025
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Rockstar officially announce another delay of GTA 6 before launch?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
96%
Manifold
96%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
T
Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?
99%
Manifold
99%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2034
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
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