OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,057
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
204,328
Markets
Data refreshed 5 hr ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
S
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
92%
Manifold
92%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
O
Oil $150 before GTA VI
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
8%
Manifold
8%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
W
Will the Unsong musical be good?
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold71 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be postponed again?
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will GTA 6 get delayed once again?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
67%
Manifold
67%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
53%
Manifold
53%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will more than one MF DOOM song be played during the MCU film DOOMSDAY?
26%
Manifold
26%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
L
Lauren Sanchez in the next Bond film?
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will a Marvel/DC crossover movie be announced before 2030?
27%
Manifold
27%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold39 traders
W
Will Half-Life 3 get released before Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6)?
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
T
Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2027?
22%
Manifold
22%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
91%
Manifold
91%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will an algorithm be able to answer questions about a movie before 2027?
68%
Manifold
68%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2028
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [actually]
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold32 traders
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