OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
298,960
Markets
Data refreshed 2 min ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Netflix remain the most popular video streaming platform at the end of 2026?
91%
Manifold
91%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will there be a full Marvel Studios live-action X-Men movie released before the end of 2029?
74%
Manifold
74%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2029
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — >=2035
11%
Manifold
11%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will GTA 6 come out on November 19, 2026?
92%
Manifold
92%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold33 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 650 million dollars at the global box office?
94%
Manifold
94%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will Netflix's brick and mortar stores fail by end of 2026?
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
W
Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?
67%
Manifold
67%
entertainmentManifold54 traders
B
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold63 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
8%
Manifold
8%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
G
GTA VI released in 2026?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold42 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2030
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold44 traders
789
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