OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,057
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
204,708
Markets
Data refreshed 21 min ago
175 questions
Consensus 2+
W
Will Michael Bay's Skibidi Toilet movie release before the end of 2026?
51%
Manifold
51%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
66%
Manifold
66%
entertainmentManifold51 traders
W
Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will all characters in movie have an option to have a person's name "hover over" their name so that the face-blind can keep track of who is who, by 2027?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2027?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
Will there be another Dune movie after Part Two in theaters before 2030?
96%
Manifold
96%
entertainmentManifold21 traders
W
Will Ron Jeremy live long enough to see the first released sex/porn film shot on the moon?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will the Supergirl movie make over 850 million dollars worldwide?
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2026
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
31%
Manifold
31%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
K
Keir starmer UK PM on day GTA 6 is released?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before GPT6?
47%
Manifold
47%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will any major Hollywood film released before 2027 be entirely AI-generated?
10%
Manifold
10%
entertainmentManifold27 traders
S
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
92%
Manifold
92%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
789
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