[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
27%
Manifold
27%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
W
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
88%
Manifold
88%
entertainmentManifold57 traders
W
Will Chechnya's ban on music that is not 80 to 116 beats per minute (BPM) be revoked within 5 years?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2040?
55%
Manifold
55%
entertainmentManifold65 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
47%
Manifold
47%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=8.5 on IMDB by 2030?
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold22 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2026
18%
Manifold
18%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
W
Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold31 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2029?
22%
Manifold
22%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2026
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom be listed on the Wikipedia best video games of all time?
80%
Manifold
80%
entertainmentManifold30 traders
B
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
71%
Manifold
71%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
entertainmentManifold28 traders
W
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold53 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
43%
Manifold
43%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
B
By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
14%
Manifold
14%
entertainmentManifold20 traders