I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
37%
Manifold
37%
entertainmentManifold57 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
63%
Manifold
63%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
W
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?
21%
Manifold
21%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
W
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
12%
Manifold
12%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
W
Will 30% of video game players be using a VR headset of some sort to play video games by 2030?
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold46 traders
W
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
59%
Manifold
59%
entertainmentManifold94 traders
G
GTA VI to release by November 19, 2026?
87%
Manifold
87%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2026
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
45%
Manifold
45%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — <=2025
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2032
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
What year will the next Star Trek movie be released? — 2027
32%
Manifold
32%
entertainmentManifold17 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2034
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
G
GTA VI costs over $100 at launch?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold15 traders
W
Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold31 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
66%
Manifold
66%
entertainmentManifold51 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2031
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
W
Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will all characters in movie have an option to have a person's name "hover over" their name so that the face-blind can keep track of who is who, by 2027?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold12 traders