W
Will Kanye release a new album in 2026?
67%
Manifold
67%
entertainmentManifold18 traders
W
Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
S
SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
62%
Manifold
62%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
I
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
30%
Manifold
30%
entertainmentManifold4373 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
49%
Manifold
49%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
G
GTA VI released in 2026?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold42 traders
W
Will a new numbered, mainline Star Wars movie be released before 2028?
20%
Manifold
20%
entertainmentManifold20 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2027?
12%
Manifold
12%
entertainmentManifold29 traders
W
Will GTA 6 be released before the final issue of One Piece?
98%
Manifold
98%
entertainmentManifold57 traders
W
Will GTA 6 require more than 200gb of space on PC.
70%
Manifold
70%
entertainmentManifold51 traders
[
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold328 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2031
4%
Manifold
4%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2033
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
B
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
60%
Manifold
60%
entertainmentManifold128 traders
W
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold38 traders
W
Will Dune: Part Three make over 750 million at the worldwide box office?
75%
Manifold
75%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
B
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
72%
Manifold
72%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
W
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [actually]
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold32 traders
I
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
77%
Manifold
77%
entertainmentManifold47 traders
H
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2028?
16%
Manifold
16%
entertainmentManifold33 traders