OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,121
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
178 questions
Consensus 2+
W
What will be true about The Super Mario Galaxy Movie? [Add Answers!] — Beach bowl galaxy is featured
3%
Manifold
3%
entertainmentManifold21 traders
W
Will a Lord of the Rings movie written by Stephen Colbert actually release by the end of 2030?
43%
Manifold
43%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will the sequel to The Super Mario Bros. Movie gross more worldwide at the box office than the first film?
5%
Manifold
5%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
W
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
88%
Manifold
88%
entertainmentManifold57 traders
W
Will Jinbe appear in Season 2 of One Piece on Netflix?
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold40 traders
W
Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?
7%
Manifold
7%
entertainmentManifold16 traders
W
Will Spotify still be a popular music streaming service in 2 years
95%
Manifold
95%
entertainmentManifold11 traders
W
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
15%
Manifold
15%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
W
Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?
19%
Manifold
19%
entertainmentManifold13 traders
B
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
17%
Manifold
17%
entertainmentManifold63 traders
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users? — 2027
35%
Manifold
35%
entertainmentManifold37 traders
G
GTA VI to release by November 19, 2026?
80%
Manifold
80%
entertainmentManifold14 traders
I
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
61%
Manifold
61%
entertainmentManifold64 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?
13%
Manifold
13%
entertainmentManifold12 traders
W
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=8.5 on IMDB by 2030?
36%
Manifold
36%
entertainmentManifold22 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2028
23%
Manifold
23%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
By what year will an AI be able to generate a full, high-quality movie to a prompt? — 2031
6%
Manifold
6%
entertainmentManifold26 traders
W
Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?
92%
Manifold
92%
entertainmentManifold22 traders
W
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
10%
Manifold
10%
entertainmentManifold35 traders
W
Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainmentManifold55 traders
56789
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