Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
57%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
50%
Manifold
64%
politics2 sources$34K14pp gap
Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?
11%
— 0ppPolymarket
21%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$32K15pp gap
Theo James announced as next James Bond?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
0%
other2 sources$20K0pp gap
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
58%
↑ 14ppPolymarket
56%
Manifold
59%
Gemini
59%
sports3 sources$9K3pp gap
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
40%
↑ 11ppPolymarket
44%
Manifold
36%
other2 sources$7K9pp gap
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
98%
↑ 60ppPolymarket
100%
Gemini
81%
sports2 sources$5K19pp gap
Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
4%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
10%
sports3 sources$4K8pp gap
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
25%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
16%
Gemini
35%
sports2 sources$3K18pp gap
Will Divya Deshmukh win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
1%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
other2 sources$3K0pp gap
Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
39%
↑ 7ppPolymarket
42%
Manifold
36%
other2 sources$3K5pp gap
Will Kateryna Lagno win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
8%
↓ 9ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
7%
other2 sources$3K2pp gap
Will Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
6%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$2K1pp gap
Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
7%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
6%
other2 sources$2K2pp gap
Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$2K1pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Sonny Styles
46%
Manifold
42%
Gemini
51%
sports2 sources9pp gap
GPT-6 released in 2026?
69%
Manifold
74%
Gemini
63%
other2 sources11pp gap
N
NCAA Final - UConn vs Michigan
27%
Manifold
27%
Gemini
27%
other2 sources0pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — David Bailey, Edge, Texas Tech
79%
Manifold
61%
Gemini
90%
sports2 sources29pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
59%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
70%
sports2 sources23pp gap
Who will be in the top five picks of the 2026 NFL Draft? — Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
29%
Manifold
22%
Gemini
37%
sports2 sources15pp gap